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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Politics Vol. $259,094 50 traders

Jean-Luc Mélenchon95%
Nathalie Arthaud89%
Marine Le Pen89%
Fabien Roussel85%
$259,094 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

46
Chance
Marine Le Pen
89% ▼ 1
Jordan Bardella
11%
Éric Zemmour
59% ▲ 1
Édouard Philippe
84%
David Lisnard
60% ▲ 1
Xavier Bertrand
5% ▼ 1
Laurent Wauquiez
3%
François Ruffin
31% ▲ 1
Gabriel Attal
37% ▲ 1
Bruno Retailleau
76% ▼ 1
François Hollande
29% ▼ 1
Raphaël Glucksmann
58% ▼ 1
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
95%
Marine Tondelier
32% ▼ 1
Fabien Roussel
85% ▼ 1
Olivier Faure
8% ▼ 3
Dominique de Villepin
38% ▲ 7
Ségolène Royal
7%
François Asselineau
20% ▼ 1
Clémentine Autain
3%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
63%
Michel Barnier
2%
Valérie Pécresse
2%
François Bayrou
6%
Élisabeth Borne
1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
3%
Jean Castex
5%
Gérald Darmanin
6%
Carole Delga
4% ▲ 1
Bernard Cazeneuve
17% ▼ 4
Manuel Bompard
8% ▼ 1
Mathilde Panot
2%
Sarah Knafo
45% ▲ 6
Sébastien Lecornu
10% ▲ 2
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
6%
Nathalie Arthaud
89%
Delphine Batho
3%
Jérôme Guedj
7%
Karim Bouamrane
5%
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
7% ▼ 2
Manuel Valls
4%
Teddy Riner
4%
Matthieu Pigasse
12% ▲ 1
Juan Branco
12%
Philippe de Villiers
8%
Bally Bagayoko
3%

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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