Sign Up
← Markets

Iran leadership change by...?

Politics Vol. $21,892,058 437 traders

June 30, 202732%
December 3124%
September 3011%
August 315%
$21,892,058 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

10
Chance
September 30
11% ▲ 2
July 31 Resolved
0%
June 30, 2027
32% ▲ 2
August 31
5% ▲ 2
March 13 Resolved
0%
March 31 Resolved
0%
April 30 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
December 31
24% ▲ 2
May 31 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
June 30 Resolved
0%

Recent trades

  • No recent trades

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments