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Chance
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
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Outcomes
72Candace Owens Resolved
0%
Gavin Newsom
10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%
Pete Buttigieg
11%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
9%
Kamala Harris
12%
Gretchen Whitmer
4%
Andy Beshear
10%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
7%
J.B. Pritzker
8%
▼ 1
Raphael Warnock
7%
Cory Booker
5%
Tim Walz
2%
Michelle Obama
2%
Mark Kelly
10%
Rahm Emanuel
11%
Gina Raimondo
4%
Zohran Mamdani
3%
Roy Cooper
1%
John Fetterman
2%
Jared Polis
4%
Jon Stewart
3%
Barack Obama
2%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Liz Cheney
3%
Bernie Sanders
1%
Phil Murphy
1%
LeBron James
2%
Hunter Biden
4%
George Clooney
7%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
MrBeast
3%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
4%
Andrew Yang
3%
Beto O’Rourke
2%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Donald Trump
8%
J.D. Vance
6%
▲ 1
Marco Rubio
6%
Tulsi Gabbard
2%
Glenn Youngkin
5%
Donald Trump Jr.
5%
Ron DeSantis
6%
Nikki Haley
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
6%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%
Greg Abbott
4%
Brian Kemp
9%
Byron Donalds
2%
Elise Stefanik
3%
Josh Hawley
2%
Ted Cruz
8%
Elon Musk
3%
▼ 1
Matt Gaetz
8%
Katie Britt
1%
John Thune
6%
Kristi Noem
4%
Mike Pence
<1%
Tucker Carlson
11%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5%
Ivanka Trump
3%
Tom Brady
2%
Rand Paul
9%
▲ 1
Steve Bannon
9%
Erika Kirk
5%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
8%
Candace Owens
7%
Don Lemon
8%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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